NCT06245109 · Northwestern University
Brain-Based and Clinical Phenotyping of Pain Pharmacotherapy in Knee Osteoarthritis
(PREDICT)
What this study is about
This is a clinical trial of people who have pain due to knee osteoarthritis at Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine. The study will last for about 20 weeks. 180 qualified participants will be randomly assigned in a 1:1:1 ratio (60 participants per group) to one of three treatment groups: duloxetine, celecoxib, or placebo.
View original scientific description
This is a clinical trial of people who have pain due to knee osteoarthritis at Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine. The study will last for about 20 weeks. 180 qualified participants will be randomly assigned in a 1:1:1 ratio (60 participants per group) to one of three treatment groups: duloxetine, celecoxib, or placebo. Participants will have a knee Xray, (optional) MRIs of the brain and knee, blood draws, pain sensitivity testing, and asked to fill out questionnaires. The purpose of this study is to try to predict which participants will respond to the treatment.
Interventions
DRUG
Duloxetine
60 mg, oral
DRUG
Celecoxib
200 mg, oral
DRUG
Placebo
Matching placebo, oral
Primary outcome measures
Percentage of Individuals with at least 30% Pain Response to treatment
Time frame: Baseline to end of first treatment period (week 6) and second treatment period (week 16)
At least 30% improvement from baseline in "weekly average daily pain" measured using a numeric rating scale (0-10) with 0 = no pain and 10 = worst pain
Who can participate
This study lists these criteria on ClinicalTrials.gov. A study coordinator reviews eligibility during screening — this page does not determine whether you qualify.
Inclusion criteria
- Male or female, age greater than 40 years, with no racial/ethnic restrictions;
- Meet American College of Radiology criteria for knee osteoarthritis (OA) based on radiographic evidence;
- Knee pain most days of the week for the past month at screening;
- Must have average pain score for the week prior to baseline of ≥ 4.0 (on a 0 to 10 Numeric Rating Scale)
- Must complete pain ratings on at least 4 out of 7 days prior to baseline;
- Must be able to read and speak English and be willing to read and understand instructions as well as questionnaires;
- Must be in generally stable health;
- Must be able to return for all clinic visits;
- Willing to remain stable on any concomitant therapies (Transcutaneous Electrical Nerve Stimulation (TENS) unit, ice, glucosamine chondroitin, cannabinoids, etc.);
- Must sign an informed consent document after complete explanation of the study documenting that they understand the purpose of the study, procedures to be undertaken, possible benefits, potential risks, and are willing to participate;
- Ambulatory with or without a cane, brace(s), or walking stick (use of walker or wheelchair will be
Exclusion criteria
- Glucagon-like peptide 1 (GLP-1) agonists or other weight-loss treatment permitted if started more than 3 months prior to screening with no significant change in weight (+/- 11 lbs) over the past 30 days; Exclusion Criteria:
- Evidence of rheumatoid arthritis, ankylosing spondylitis, other inflammatory arthropathy;
- Functional class IV congestive heart failure;
- Significant other medical disease such as uncontrolled hypertension, untreated diabetes mellitus, coronary or peripheral vascular disease, chronic obstructive lung disease, or liver disease (liver function tests \> upper limit of normal);
- Current use of illicit drugs or history (in last 12 months) of alcohol or drug abuse;
- Current cannabinoid use for knee pain;
- High dose opioid use, as defined as \> 50mg morphine equivalent/day;
- Any medical condition that in the investigator's judgment may prevent the individual from completing the study or put the individual at undue risk;
- In the judgment of the investigator, unable or unwilling to follow protocol and instructions;
- Intra-axial implants (e.g., spinal cord stimulators or pumps);
- Currently breastfeeding, pregnant, or planning to become pregnant during the study;
- Chronic neurologic conditions, e.g., Parkinson's;
- Renal insufficiency (creatinine \>1.5 mg/dl);
- Previous history of peptic ulcer or gastrointestinal bleeding;
- Current use of anticoagulants or platelet inhibitors other than aspirin at ≤325 mg/day;
- Allergy to sulfonamide drugs, duloxetine, nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs), or acetaminophen;
- Acute myocardial infarction or coronary artery bypass graft surgery, in the past 12 months;
- Recent injection into the index knee of hyaluronic acid or other substance in the last 6 months, or steroid in the last 90 days;
- Lactose allergy;
- Current use of selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors (SSRIs), serotonin and norepinephrine reuptake inhibitors (SNRIs), and/or tricyclic antidepressants (TCAs) at a therapeutic dose. Occasional use of these medications as a sleep aid will be allowed; however, participants will need to agree to remain on a stable dose of the medication while in the study;
- Uncontrolled narrow-angle glaucoma;
- Malignancy within 2 years of screening, with the exception of squamous cell carcinoma, basal cell carcinoma and prostate cancer (grade group 1);
- Active treatment for cancer other than superficial skin cancer; or
- Nerve ablation performed on the index knee within 12 months of screening.
Where
- Chicago, Illinois
Collaborators
Brigham and Women's Hospital
Related conditions & keywords
Frequently asked questions
What is a clinical trial?
A clinical trial is a research study that tests new medical treatments, drugs, devices, or procedures to determine their safety and effectiveness. Trials are carefully designed and monitored to protect participants while advancing medical knowledge.
Is it safe to participate?
Clinical trials follow strict safety guidelines and ethical standards. Trials must be reviewed and approved, and participants are closely monitored by medical professionals throughout the study. You can withdraw at any time if you choose.
Will I be compensated?
Many clinical trials offer compensation for your time, travel expenses, and inconvenience. The specific compensation varies by study and will be discussed during the screening process. All study-related medical care is typically provided at no cost to participants.
Will I receive a placebo instead of treatment?
When effective treatment exists, participants typically receive either the standard treatment plus the study intervention, or the standard treatment plus placebo. You would not be denied effective care. Placebos are primarily used when no proven treatment is available, or in addition to standard care. Your trial consent form will clearly explain what treatments you may receive.
Can I leave a trial if I change my mind?
Absolutely. Participation in clinical trials is completely voluntary. You have the right to withdraw from the study at any time, for any reason, without penalty or loss of benefits to which you are otherwise entitled.
How long does a clinical trial last?
Trial duration varies widely depending on the study design and purpose. Some trials last just a few weeks, while others may continue for months or years. The study coordinator will provide specific timeline information during your screening call.
Data: ClinicalTrials.gov · synced Apr 30, 2026 · Source of record for eligibility and locations